当前位置:首页 > 过刊浏览->2013年第1\2期合刊
HTML全文
赫斯特指数H值在地震预测中的运用
The use of Value H of Hurst Index in the prediction of earthquake
- DOI:
- 作者:
- 包秀敏
- 作者单位:
- 中国辽宁110161 沈阳地震台
- 关键词:
- 赫斯特指数;地震预测;可信度
Hurst Index, The earthquake prediction, Confidence
- 摘要:
-
赫斯特指数H值在地震预报中有一定预报意义,作者编制H值计算程序,针对辽宁地区进行地震学参数的H值分析研究,旨在探索中强地震前H值的异常变化特征,依据研究结果判定辽宁地区未来2-3年发生5级以上地震的概率为0.75。
The Value H of Hurst Index is significant in earthquake prediction. The preparation of the Value H calculation procedure, the research and analysis of the Value H of the seismological parameters of the region of Liaoning ,are aimed at exploring the abnormal variation of the Value H before the medio-strong and strong earthquake. According to the result of the research, it can be determined that the probability of the earthquake with the magnitude higher than 5 in the coming two or three years is 0.75.